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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2011-10-11 PACKET 04.s. • To: Economic Development Authority From: Ryan R. Schroeder, City Administrator Date: October 6, 2011 Subject: Development Update Building Permit Data Residential permit activity continues on pace with our more recent projections which is at a total unit count of 50 estimated for the year. Production through September is at 40 total units (39 new single family). Per unit values continue strong at an average of just over $291K which is well above the values in all prior years except 2007 -8. It would appear, therefore, while demand across the market has not rebounded the demand in a portion of the market has in fact continued on track. Lot availability is declining such that absent new development we will experience lot exhaustion during 2012. Commercial construction has not kept pace with the residential market. There are various potential projects queuing up, however, most of these have development challenges beyond a building permit approval. PSCH The City Council awarded this project on September 21 with and official ground breaking on September 29. The grading permit is scheduled to be granted on October 6 with the foundation permit on October 7. The initial Graham schedule (the General Contractor) anticipated a notice to proceed on October 19. That same date is scheduled for their submittals of long lead materials and equipment with review of those submittals by November 2 and procurement generally by November 17. Selection of the testing selection due date is October 19. AET has been selected to conduct that testing with submittal of the contract document having occurred on September 27. As has been reported previously the current project cost estimate is at $15,708,491 with a base bid of $12,985,000 plus the Veteran's Memorial of $36,000. MSP The regional MSP economic development marketing entity is now up and operating. They have scheduled a PR event in October to announce their arrival. We have begun receiving leads from them over the past month or so. tesidential Construction Since 1970 Single/ Attached Peak 'ear Residential City Nat'l Units Recession Unemploy. Unemp. 1970 162 Start 12/69 End 11/70 6.10% 1971 356 1972 248 1973 220 Start 11/73 1974 213 1975 189 End 3/75 9.00% 1976 209 1977 250 1978 255 1979 251 1980 202 Start 1/80 End 7/80 7.80% 1981 116 Start 7/81 1982 46 End 11/82 10.80% 1983 77 1984 150 1985 100 1986 196 1987 273 1988 404 1989 251 1990 329 Start 7/90 3.50% 1991 270 End 3/91 4.50% 7.80% 1992 410 4.30% 1993 373 3.60% 1994 406 2.70% 1995 382 2.60% 1996 300 2.60% 1997 205 2.10% 1998 218 1.90% 1999 184 1.80% 2000 145 2.40% 2001 182 Start 3/01; End 11/01 3.00% 6.30 % 2002 296 3.70% 2003 284 4.10% 2004 308 4.00% 2005 265 3.50% 2006 185 3.50% 2007 67 Start 12/07 3.90% 2008 89 continue 4.90% 2009 66 End 6/09 7.50 % 10.20 % 2010 45 6.10% ?011 YTD 40 May -11 5.90% 9.20% average 219 Fotal 3205 Note: Unit counts do not include 157 unit Norris Square or 84 unit White Pines senior housing 70 -79: Ave of 235 /year 80 -89: Ave of 182 /year 90 -99: Ave of 308 /year 00 -99: Ave of 189 /year Total of 223.5 /year employment data from www.economagic.com City of Cottage Grove Residential Building Permit History Year Permits 1990 313 1991 270 1992 417 1993 373 1994 425 1995 392 1996 321 1997 213 i 1998 220 1999 186 2000 145 2001 182 2002 296 2003 284 2004 308 2005 265 2006 185 2007 67 2008 89 Proj. 2009 66 1990 Pop 2000 Pop 2010 Pop 22,935 30,582 34,589 2010 89 2020 Proj 2011 40 YTD 50 2030 Proj 2012 70 44,000 53,000 census census census Met C. 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Most are home based businesses. Infosafe Technologies LLC Make it Mary LLC Accelerated Systems Victoria's Wedding & Event Planning 8578 Hale Ave. S. September 7747 Jasmine Ave. S. September 9694 78th St. S. September 7652 Hinton Ave. S. No 3 September EDA Action: Information Only