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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2014-02-22 PACKET 1030Cottage / Grove � Pride and PrOSperity Meet To: From: Date: Subject: City Council and Economic Development Authority Ryan R. Schroeder February 11, 2014 Housing Enclosed, please find the following housing market/demand exhibits: 1. February 3, 2014 Washington County HRA power point on housing demand 2. Excerpts from September 2013 Maxfield Research study on housing needs 3. May 29, 2013 Metropolitan Council 2012 Cottage Grove population estimate 4. November 19, 2013 letter to the Metropolitan Council from the City of Cottage Grove on future housing growth in Cottage Grove Please also find the following land use allocation exhibits: 1. Compilation of future housing counts by type/density 2. Future Land Use Maps (several exhibits) Housing Demand From the above four housing market/demand exhibits we can glean the following: A. April 1, 2012 Cottage Grove population was at 35,187 persons in 11,896 households at a ratio of 2.95 persons per household (this per household count is high relative to the metro area generally; generally high counts exist within communities with younger average ages generated by families with children under 18) B. Current Met Council estimates for 2030 project a population for Cottage Grove of 53,000 in 20,000 households C. Projected amended Met Council estimates for 2040 (ten years later) project a population for Cottage Grove of 40,700 in 17,400 households D. Maxfield projects a 2030 Cottage Grove submarket population (including St. Paul Park, Newport, and Grey Cloud Township) of 59,000 in 21,225 households (roughly 9,000 of those persons would reside outside of Cottage Grove). 1. Maxfield projects 1,764 new single family homes within the Cottage Grove market between 2013 and 2020 (about 220 per year) and about 180/year between then and 2030. 2. Maxfield projects 950 high density for sale units to 2020 (about 135/year) and about 120/year between then and 2030 3. In total the Cottage Grove market is projected to produce about 355 for sale housing units between 2013 and 2020 according to Maxfield and about 315/year for the ten years following. 4. Additionally, Maxfield projects almost 1100 non-senior rental units within this market between now and 2030 with about half of those by 2020 (about 60/year). 5. The market demand for senior housing (both owner and rental which is contained within above unit counts), according to Maxfield is 821 additional units between 2013 and 2030 (perhaps representing an average of 50/year). 6. Of the for sale single family housing prior to 2020, 176 units are from the "modest" market (under $350,000) with another 1,323 in the move up market with the final 265 units considered executive housing (over $500,000) 7. For attached "for sale" housing 570 units would be considered modest with 380 : � within the move-up category Within the rental category Maxfield categorizes 170 as subsidized, 105 as afFordable and 225 as market rate Within the senior market to 2020 347 would be for active adults (11 units subsidized and 103 being classified as affordable) with another 256 receiving services (congregate care, assisted living, or memory care) The Maxfield study talks about housing demand and does not consider lot availability. Because of the interaction of the two we believe the development pace suggested by Maxfield is likely three years premature. In other words it seems we would not be likely to hit the pace suggested by Maxfield until 2016 perhaps. Meanwhile the Met Council preliminary 2030 estimates appear conservative. We believe these estimates, which generally perceive the suburban east metro as realizing a reduced pace of housing growth, is based upon the belief that core city development will absorb a significant share of housing demand. In sum, Maxfield projects about 400 units/year of housing demand (estimated from above) with 10% to 15% of the total as market or affordable rental or senior (owner or rental). Land Use Allocations The East Ravine plan includes 4,000 acres for a total of 6,554 housing units. The breakout of those housing units is 2,994 for single family, 1,602 for attached housing (townhouses) and 1,958 for multi-family (apartment/senior housing). Additionally, the West Draw has an estimated capacity for 936 additional single family housing units and 66 senior housing units. The Southwest development area has an estimated capacity for 476 single-family and 31 townhouse units. The Langdon area is a transition area that has been identified for mixed land uses. Based on an illustration in the Red Rock Corridor Commuter Rail — Langdon Village (January 2012), a total of 617 residential units (townhouses and apartment units) were estimated. The residential acreage designated in the approved Future Vision 2030 Comprehensive Plan provides enough low density, medium density and high density acreages to allow the construction of the following residential housing types: Single Family: 4,406 units Attached Housing: 2,083 units Multi-Family: 2,241 units Total: 8,730 units The question if we have enough land available to provide development of single-family, one level townhouses, apartments or condominium walk up housing, and senior housing has been asked. Based on the undeveloped parcels available residential land uses shown on the 2030 Future Land Use map, approximately 1,771 acres is designated for detached single-family development, 413 acres for medium density residential and 97 acres for high density residential for an equivalent total of 8,730 residential units. The overall density based on these estimates is 3.3 units per acre. The table below is a summary of the residential acreages proposed in the 2030 Comprehensive Plan: ESTIMATED ACRES ESTIMATED UNITS DENSITY PER ACRE Low Density Residential 1,771 4,406 2.5 Medium Density Residential 413 2,083 5.0 High Density Residential 97 2,241 23.0 If an average of 225 new houses were constructed annually for the next 20 years, the City would have enough low density residential land to construct the estimated 4,406 dwellings. Based on the acreages designed in the Future Land Use map for medium density and high density land uses and assuming an average of 100 townhouses and 110 multiple-family units are constructed annually, this would also provide for 20 years of land capacity. Excerpts from the approved East Ravine Master Plan, March 2006 showing the designated land uses for the East Ravine and the residential unit breakdown is attached as Exhibits A through D. A copy of the Future Land Use 2030 map for the entire city is attached as Exhibit E. Four future growth area are depicted on Exhibit E. These growth areas are: East Ravine, West Draw, Southwest and Langdon. Illustrations 1 through 4 show the land use designations for the four growth areas in the community. Illustration 5 and 6 show parcels of land that are available for residential development within the West Draw and Southwest growth areas. Also attached is Table 1 summarizing the estimated number of dwelling structures within each growth area. Excerpts from the Red Rock Corridor Study prepared by Hay Dobbs, January 2012 are also included in this packet. This Study identified the Landon area as a candidate site for transit oriented uses that are consistent with the Langdon Transitional Area described in the Future Vision 2030 Comprehensive Plan. The Langdon neighborhood is designated as a mixed use in the Comprehensive Plan which proposes commercial services and a mix of inedium and high density residential units. Excerpts from the Hay Dobbs study showing the potential station development area are enclosed. Historically, the number of dwelling units constructed per year has generally not exceeded the projections described in the approved Comprehensive Plan. If the average numbers of new residential units are not constructed as assumed above, the number of years to "build-out" the available residential lands will increase. The number of residential units yearly constructed for the last 23 years is shown below. NUIVIBER C�� �}1N��.1.�N1� Uhf1TS C�N5TRUCTE[� C{)TTAG E G RC��IE, M IV 450 400 :350 3i� 250 2� 15�1 100 �� t] T' 11 ��� �� �� �� YEAR Summation We seem well positioned to address single family housing demand over the next number of years with available land within the West Draw, the Southwest Area and the Upper Ravine District. Creation of inedium and high density housing product can also be accomplished with existing land use designations within two areas of the East Ravine. Those areas are at the intersection of 70 and Keats and also between the Shoppes at CottageView and 90 Street. The 70 area has some landowner interest in development opportunities and most of the required infrastructure is in place. The land south of 90 is not currently on the market and significant infrastructure improvements will need to occur to facilitate further development within that district. v� rs m ct �n +o t� oo rn o� r.i m�# us �o t� ao � v� nr cn'c# �n c� � co �rn o� r�a m �u�irnrnrnrnrnrnrn o ° 000�o r� e-i e� � a-i s-i s-i ri r-t i--7 x-i ri e-i r-d��.��.a--d:a-i:�� c-i�x� �rl tV �N N tV �N N C+� N N N N N C`J �N � ��� : Comprehensive Housing Needs Assessment For ___ __ ngton County, Minnesota Washington County Housing and Redevelopment Authority (WCH RA) Woodbury, Minnesota September 2013 1d search Inc. 1221 Nicollet Avenue S. Suite 218 Minneapolis, MN 55403 612.338.0012 DEMAND SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS Cottage Grove - Summary of Demographic and Housing Condition Findings Key demographic and housing market findings for the Cottage Grove submarket from the housing study are highlighted below. For a comparison, figures for Washington County are shown as well. Demographic and Housing Characteristics Summary Cottage Grove Washington County z ;� ���'����_. ,�: ��,_����'�.-�` x s ��� ���Demographics ��;"' �������s,��,"�.�._��� � .,.:.��;��-�.,. ��z�a� a. �:,.�F..� s,��.Ee-w'..�� `.,�' � , Population (2010 & 2020) 43,592 / 51,250 238,136 / 282,575 Households (2010 & 2020) 15,157 / 18,100 87,855 / 105,920 Household Growth (2010 & 2020) 2,943 18,065 Median Household Income (2012) $66,288 $76,800 Median Net Worth (2012) $170,979 $216,586 Homeownership Rate (2010) 86.0% 82.8% �a� � ������^������.��� ���� ��� ����,Housmg C�iaracter�st�cs����r`��� ;��:� ����r����e�����"�'���� wr� �,��r� Occupied Housing Units (2010) 15,157 / 96% 87,859 / 95% Vacant Housing Units (2010) 611 / 4% 4,515 / 5% Number of single-family units permitted (2005-2011) 929 8,164 Number of multifamily units permitted (2005-2011) 217 1,339 Median age of housing stock (2011) 1980 1986 Housing stock built before 1950 1,091 / 7% 7,537 / 14% Housing stock built between 1950 and 1990 8,823 / 58% 6,519 / 12% Housing stock built after 1990 5,248 / 35% 41,316 / 75% Median home value of owner-occupied units (2011) $216,178 $257,200 Median contract rent for renter-occupied units (2011) $834 $922 � � ��.,.���.��z.sz���� ���?��,�Employmgr�t s��_-- ��� ��.. � � "a�` � z� �tx�u�.�z �.. ztk���., .���'' Number of Employees 9,368 73,684 AverageAnnual Wage $38,584 $39,832 N '��.�.��^.'�i_� ���..�.�..��. � ...g£.��....�.�. `'-�.�'�<'�.::?�.�`�..'YS�'rr �i�.�� :{ ����:�,. ��; For Sale_Hqusm �' �,�� ,�;E„N�. '��' � Median resale price of existing single-family homes (2012) $175,000 $224,900 Median resale price of existing multifamily homes (2012) $104,250 $126,000 Median list price of actively marketing sf homes (1un. 2013) $198,000 $378,498 Median list price of actively marketing mf homes (Jun. 2013) $129,900 $168,530 $ �' ' , y;'s'�e's a �-: � z�.?�..^fs:r�. , � � ... , a��:+'�:3z' t �, r� '7�'a ,�,G �._ �� ,+a� ,�;;�Y'.e ro ���: ��."'���������$�.�� �..a���.�.��..���.G�nera�QccupailcY.FRentall{ousmg.����',1�.�;.���.��...., ,:��fi�.��!�°:,�,� s. �z.... Distribution of rental units by type Market rate 589 / 63.1% 5,232 / 71.5% Affordable/Subsidized 344 / 36.9% 2,082 / 28.5% Average rent for market rate unit 1BR $745 $868 2BR $867 $1,071 3BR $1,151 $1,482 �*'.. .• - v� t x ;;.�����',',�.� ; ��„„ : ,.� y ... �, �3r} e �fi r �is'�t 3 ,� k� .,s.,..� ;���.-�����,����s���,�, �.,��.��,�Seni,or,Housing��� ,' ��: ���'���?���'��.��s�:��^'u"�»..; Distribution of senior housing by type Affordable/Subsidized Active Adult 72 / 19.8% 1,128 / 34.6% Market Rate Active Adult 82 / 22.5% 546 / 16.7% Congregate 86 / 23.6% 626 / 19.2% Assisted Living 62 / 17.0% 638 / 19.5% Memory Care 62 / 17.0% 326 / 10.0% MAXFIELD RESEARCH INC. 326 DEMAND SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS Cottage Grove Recommendations Cottage Grove's close proximity to jobs in Woodbury, combined with access to the remainder of the Twin Cities, will make Cottage Grove an attractive place to live. We project the Cottage Grove submarket will add about 2,800 households between 2013 and 2020. �� ��� Cottage Grove Projected General Occupancy Demand, 2013 — 2020 G�neral Ocpupancy 3,215 _ _ Eor-Sale Rental 2,714 501 I SF tvl�ultifamily 9NR Aifordable Subsii ��:1,764 "� �'950 � 225 " ' 1 Q 5 �� 17 �!- � Cottage Grove Projected Senior Demand, 2020 Note: Because households are mobile and are willing to seek out various housing products in adjacent communi- ties, these demand figures may experience fluctuations. MAXFIELD RESEARCH INC. 327 DEMAND SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS For-Sale Housin�: Between 2013 and 2020, we project demand for roughly 1,765 single-family homes, or about 65% of the general occupancy housing demand. Cottage Grove has a vacant lot supply of only 52 lots and 133 future lots resulting in a future lot shortage. Additional lots will need to be platted in order to accommodate demand. Rental Housin�: There is demand for 501 rental units in Cottage Grove. Because of Cottage Grove's close proximity to higher paying jobs, we find that a significant portion of rental de- mand will be for market rate units (225 units by 2020). In addition, a rental develop has not been built since Hinton Heights in 1993. Cottage Grove renters would desire newer contempo- rary finishes and amenities. Separate market studies have been completed for the redevelopment of the southwest area of I-494 and Highway 61 in the City of Newport. Any housing as part of this development would be in addition to the projections identified in this section. Senior Housing: Norris Square was recently built in 2010 and has 86 congregate, 21 assisted living, and 18 memory care units. We find that Cottage Grove could also support additional senior units in the next few years. The greatest demand is for active adult rental units (up to 150) and assisted living units (up to 218 units. � ��l � MAXFIELD RESEARCH INC. 328 �u Metropolitan Council u May 29, 2013 Myron Bailey, Mayor City Of Cottage Grove 12800 Ravine Pkwy Cottage Grove, MN 55016 Dear Mayor Bailey: Each year, the Metropolitan Council prepares population and household estimates as of April l of the previous year. Local governments are invited to review and comment on the preliminary estimates. The Council will certify final estimates by July 15 for State government use in allocating local government aid and street aid. The Metropolitan Council estimates that the City Of Cottage Grove had 35,187 people and 11,896 households as of April 1, 2012. Household size averaged 2.95 persons per household. With this letter, the Council is reporting the data inputs used to develop the preliminary estimates for your community. The Council estimates current population and households through changes in the housing stock, occupancy rates and persons per household. Input data sources include housing stock, manufactured home parks, and group quarters data maintained by Metropolitan Council Research, as well as U.S. Census Bureau's American Community Survey data. For more information on the Council's population estimates model, please visit the Council's website at http://stats.metc.state.mn.us/stats/aboutestimates.aspx or contact Todd Graham at 651-602- 1322. _� Council staff welcomes discussion of tha 2012 preliminary estimates. Under Minnesota Statutes 473.24, the Metropolitan Council must receive your comments, questions or specific objections, in writing, by June 24. Please send any written comments or questions to Todd Graham, Metropolitan Council Research, 390 North Robert Street, Saint Paul, MN 55101; or by e-mail to todd.graham@metc.state.mn.us Sincerely, l� � �. j �� �� � ��_ �,--.-�.. Todd Graham Principal Demographer www. metro council. org 390 Robert Street North • St. Paul, MN 55101-1805 •(651) 602-1000 . Fazc (651) 602-1550 • TT'I' (651) 291-0904 An Equal Opportunity Employer 2012 Annual Population Estimates Cottaqe Grove citv, Washinpton Countv, Minnesofa Households: Housing Total Occupancy Rate 11,896 Population in Households: 12,240 Population in Group Quarters: 97.19% Total Population: 35,103 84 Average Household Size: 2.951 35,187 Metropolitan Council's Annual Estimates account for housing stock changes since April 1, 2010. These include housing units permitted and other changes. Other changes are due to demolitions, building conversions (units added or lost), city boundary changes (units annexed in or out), and other changes reported by city and township staff. The Council assumes that 85% of multifamily and 95% of single-family units permitted in 2011 were completed and occupiable by April 1, 2012; the remainder are occupiable in the future. Manufactured homes are counted each year from Metropolitan Council surveys of manufactured home park operators ancJ local governments. Other housing (boats, RVs, etc. used as housing) is an estimate from the most recent Census ACS estimates. Housin� Stock April 1, 2010 Single-family-detached: Townhomes: Duplex, 3-, 4-plex units: Multifamily units: Manufactured homes: Other (boats, RVs, etc. as shelter): 9,839 1,209 196 755 103 0 92 0 0 44 Otherchan�es since 2010 -2 0 0 0 Housin� Stock April 1. 2012 9,929 1,209 196 799 101 6 Housing Total: 12,102 12,240 � Each housing type will have a specifically estimated occupancy rate and average household size. Starting with the 2011-12 cycle, the primary data are the most recent American Community Survey estimates, calculated and adjusted as described in the Council's methodology, available online at . http://stats.metc.state.mn.us/stats/a boutestimates.aspx Definitions: A household is a group of people (or one person alone) occupying a housing unit. The number of occupied housing units and the number of households are equivalent. Population in Group Quarters (or institutional housing) is counted separately through an annual Metropolitan Council survey. Housin� Stock April 1, 2012 Single-family-detached: Townhomes: Duplex, 3-, 4-plex units: Multifamily units: Manufactured homes: Other: 9,929 1,209 196 799 101 6 Housing Total: 12,240 Occupancv Rate 2012 97.56% 97.56% 83.96% 94.76% 100.00% Counted only if occupied Households: Permitted and built sinee 2010 Occupied with Households 9,687 1,180 165 757 101 6 Persons Per Household 2.968 2.968 4.739 2.484 1.856 1.000 11,896 In Households: In Group Qtrs: Total Population: Population in 2012 28,746 3,502 . 782 1,880 187 6 35,103 84 35,187 Metropolitan Council 5/28/2013 �ott�.�e �ro�r� � . �'�er� Ptide a� �r°�p�ri�y Mee� Novem�er 19, 20'f 3 Ms. Lisa Barajas Manag�r of �.ocal Planning Assisfianc� Metropofitan Council 390 Roberfi Streefi Nor�h St. Paul, N!N 55'f0� R�: Metropolifian Counci]'s Pr�liminary 20�� Farecasfis Dear Ms. Barajas; The.Cifiy of Cottage Grove undersfiands fhat fihe Mefiropolitart Cauncil has released preliminary 2040 population, household and employment for�casts and is m the process of reaching out ta cifiies befar� updating regianal plans ar�d fiinafizing growth forecasts in �he seven-county metrapalitan area. Th� City of Cottag� Gro�e also understands that fhe forecasts are for the year 2040 and forecasts for 2020 and 2430 will also be revised and incorporated infio fihe adoptian afi the Thrive MSP 204Q. Metropolitan Councils preliminary 2fl�0 forecast significantly reduced Cottage Grove's number o�F households by 13 percent, populatifln by 23.� percent and employment by 20 percent. Thes� reducfiians are comp�red befow: Co#tage Grove ���fl Regional Thrive MSP 20�4Q (preIiminaryj . peve[opment �ramework Nouseholds 20,000 17,400 Population 53,000 . 40,700 �mplayment 91,500 9,200 The C[fiy of Cof#age Grove undersfands that fhe collapse of the housing markefs beginning in 2006 adversely im�acted growth in develaping cammunities. Becaus� of this ec�nomic downturn, CQttage Grave's annual average number of new residentiaC construction building permits �ell fr�m an average of 28'f permits forthe period 998�-2007 to an annual average of 63 p�rmits befween 2008 and November 20'i 3. !n preparin� the City's Fufiure VisiQn 2Q30 Comprehensive Plan, the City us�d a gensral assumption of 25U hauseholds per year for planning purposes. . The East Ravine N(aster P[an (2005} encompasses approximately 4,000 acres of land loca#ed alang Woadbury`s sautheastern boundary and along Keats Avenue {CSAH 19). This IVlaster P[an originally planned fhe development of approximafeEy 6,v54 residential tanits over a twenty year period. Since ifs adopfian, development within the East Ravine has been slow, but variaus utility extensions and transportafiiort improvements were CI�F'l 0� COTTAGE GROVE • i2800 Ravine Parkway • Cottage Grove, Minnesata 55016 www.cottage-grove,org • &51-458-2800 • �ax 65f-458-2897 • �quai Qpportu�ity Employer , Mefropolitan Council 2040 Popula�ion Forecast November 19, 2013 Page 2 of 3 compiefed. These improvem�nfs were designed wifih fh� capacities nec�ssary to accommodate fu#ure grawth as dicta#ed in fihe Future Visian 2030 Comprehensive Plan. Woadbury's Phas� 2 growth is in proximity fa Cattage Grove`s Upper Ravine wifhin fihe East Ravine. Woodbury's Phase 2 provides enough land for residential uses fio accommodate an average annual growth rate of approximately 600 uni#s per year over a� ten-year period. The residential devefopmer�t acfiiuifies and fhe many additional employment resources in UVoodbury's Phase 2 has renewed development interesfs in Cotfage Grove's East Ravine and deveEopabfe land alang Coftage Grove's narthern tier that adjains Woodbury's Phase 2. The City is slowly regaining growfh and is expecting to achieve sustainabl� growth fhafi is similar to levels befare the economic downfiurn. New housing canstrucfion acfiivifiy has recenfly showed signs ofi recavery. In 20�3, six residenfial d�ve)opment praposals wit� 4'i 0 lots have been pr�sented fo fhe City: Fc�r comparison, the City only reviewed 98 residenfial lots for a�ive year period befwe�n 2408 and 2a12. Regard[ess of whaf the o�ficiat forecasfis are for Cotfage Grove, fhe City wilf canfiinue to ac#ively pursue a cans�rvative grovuth rate with the ability to react fo addifional growth if praj�cted forecasts are exceeded. The Cifiy will also continue to pursue economic development oppor�unities that will sfimulate empfoymertt and development proposals fhat will pravide mar� housing supply. The Metropolitan Council's preliminary forecasts appear to be based c�n currenfi markets, economic growth, demographic #rends and real estate behaviors. �"o ensure the re�ion's financia(, social and environmental stastainability, the forecasfs must carr�spand to local planning and development expectations. AS fih� economy cantinues to recover, development within Cottage Grave is expected to meefi ar even exceed pre-2Q06 levels. The Gity will expect fhaf fhe Me#ropo(ifan Cauncil continues fio �nsure infrastrucfiure investment that bes� supp�r�s th� total capacity of households, popu[ation and� �mployment from the City's Future Vision 2�3Q Comprehensive Plan. To accomplish this, Cotfage +Grove's forecasted grawfih for pianning purpases shau[d be based on an annual grawth af approximate(y 2v0 new homes annualfy instead of the preliminary forecas# of 18S new homes p�r year and a 2.9 — 3.1 p�rsons per househofd insteacf of 2.3 persons per household proposed in fihe preliminary forecast. The Cify af Cottage Grave continues fio atfiract three and four bedroom hames fhat cater fio young families. The annual number of new r�s�dential permits will continue fio increase and the number of p�ople per household wilf be wifhin a few percentage points of the numb�r of �eople per household we have experienced fbr th� past twenty years. . The City will continue fo supparfi land-use patterns that effi�iently cannecf housing, jobs, refiail centers and ensure an adequafe supply of dev�lapabfe land for future growfh. The Cify will.wor�C collaborative[y with the Metropolitan Council in guiding the ragion's growth Me�Popofitan Council 2040 t�opulation �'orecasfi November 19, 2013 Page 3 of 3 ar�d ma�cing the most cost-efFective use o�F new and existing roads, sewers and other cnstly [nfrastrucfi�re. Vl/e loak farward to con#inuing diafogue wifih #he M�tropolitan Caunci( as #he Thrive MSP 209�0 branded plan evg�lves. �-, City Adm in isfra�or City of Gottage Grove EXHIBIT A East Ravine Clty of Cottage Grove Noiflhborhood 1 ...a_ .I_ - - � 1..� 1 1 i _�— _ ��.4 �� � � � �r '�1�•` r ��. � 1 � i � � t� � I I � t� % �� ` �� 1 is ' _ :�.,- � 'i � -';-� � ,� 1 ' ��,,, (! �� � l� t '',�`..� 5 ".�i�''vir�a,::�•..�.�;... �:::�'�._ � � ���� t �� '� '�' � i � =i��il l � �. __ .'=� ; , — � ��� _� _I_� �. ,II �_;, _/( �ii� Nelghborhood 1 North Land Use Legend .' Rura�Residenilal(lese�fian�r.vui�AneJ � Low Densiry Rosidenlial (t-s uars i Aive� N��IW -�65LOh -BSltls -1��InHanu .� Idedtum DensRy Reafdentlal (a-11 �Xws f A:m) - rev,.vix rtvn.rma � Ffiqh Densiry Resldantlal (dl orus/Acre) - c�amnu�arµam�ms � Clvlc 1 (nstimlienal � CommerCfal � IAzed Use � Park ! Open Sporn __ � - -' - I � �J_, � . �� Parkway j. . ...;'' ��. ..� � 904151flE �,� � Wate�body � j� `;'""�� �'' � ,. ' :� . 1 �I�� �;�. Nelghbori�ood 9 Soutif � , ; � 1 I �� . . _ _ . �. ;f� �,.'.+�Ln Noig hborhood 2 /01d ., ���t{u P i�NP�� coun� r+iovo an� V �� y, ,��� � RC,Ulop�l P,i4.�. k 7 � � `''�t• _ .�' . �J/�., l � Nelghborhood 2 A OP.T71 � � O' BW k'N' 320]' �.� Gly Of Cottage Grove nn�,e�+a � i�,�mr,mti.,.rt,cn.���o.�. Land Use Plan ��,�,ezoos u°���� ���,.�� cnu:, v.,.�... Il�wvrl Rfin.. C��rp.ry mir.��� nt:v.�ac.,�� ta. EXHIBIT B East Ravine Clty of Coftage Grove Nelghbortrood 1 North not�ru G� illi' d00' Q:0 rt, . � ;��• �' 1 Sln9ia Family • 100' � Lols J ;� Sins�la Family • 66' Lots 1 � ', I Singie Famity < g5' Lets l� � Tvin Humes ►�1 � Rc�shouselTownhousu � Ccnd•sminium 1 AFarlmonl � CommerCial � CWIL f InSNIUIiRnal . � Censervaliun Ensement � Storm�xater Trcatmont I Wata�hody � � Park f Open Sraw 9� ���� Parknay ! Grernway �,� � J Residentlal Sub�Collecter Slmct i C.�LA of �J Cottage Grove ��o Neigh6aFOOd t NwJr �ma uee �enma � ..,,�..�. ,.. „« J . ,._ ,...... � ..._ ......._ ... � !..�..'.... . r..���. 1y . .� M:. � "tu.r r ' �, u , tu ,, u � M1'cghhorMwi7 -� ,•,�a `�� C�oge Grow _ k� � m,������.��K 2�,r�.��i��,. Neighborhood 1 North Master Plan June2005 ;��;-��,�:,,,�..F.. 11.+..10.fiA:� C�n�rynf uu��,� u.�� i,i. Legend: Neighborhood 1 North EXHIBIT C East Ravine Clty of Cottage Grove Nelghborhoodi � Nalghborhood2 Legend: Neighborhood 1 South $ f ` � t�:; 1 � o i -;"• ; aomsuoet � � r O . . : LG� y Singlz iamily- 1GU' Lols '� ��S . i pO � ., f '� v : � ` � .:_:,'`': Singla Famity • 85' Lcts �� "�° I �a� ,F��:.';k � 4 . Singla Fnmlly • < 85' Lets , �E�?j�:`��: � �' � � .. 7�':. u� �-�`,j`,... Cs: � � r '`fn,.� i. �`�'� Re+.fiouselTuwnhouse _ � "`� :'•''1,=;,•.���'• I , �� ,� J � ``#,t � `+ � . i�S!'?�:: < �,... '�'�,, .;+. i���=�;' Condeminlures 1.5parlments '; � �I '��� � CivlallnsNlutional w . � ,�:l � � �� � t � ��f ^�— Cemmcrciat __u l� � - � (( _? f' , i� ��, )\�i � , C�. �: !,� __ r�:.. � Idired Use \ / ' � � .'°.'.' .:; � � � f.� ,` � � :� `: ` ,�'.'�-�' 4 .�1 � I � w �7 90N&Uael�� iA'?�I . �'���Y�`►� Mkr;��yk^. PaiklOpenSpaw p ���� .� •7 � qp � � �•�J L,�°� �9�p `J J 'J J J�� + y � � � � � �`" � �oJy�,',�, �1 54;rmwaW_r Trealment Area � � � - � -! � ` S���l 1��11 ��';� , �: �, ��� � . ..,,.,;::>,,:,,, _:��:. �'; :;:: '�,� .rr;'n� � . :�dF'E�:.:� v '� � - y � n :� `�rv<lC.:'p�.FY; � � l ,'.:. '�` � � -.;;�;, ..,�.>: i ; � ��:a_�;4s�12�c�"�h orh� r _+„ �� � ' : . , 7 tr nt �� Neighborhoad 1 Soc�ti� � � ;I - ' • "; ' S� :�°:_++ � :� t �� e,�r� {Coitac�e View) ✓y����; .,,,. :��,� .�:J r f . _ .._ V ' �(/ .� 1 ' j .`( _ J � �i� �� .. r � � r e��,�� „ " : , ; ,�� � t , 1 } ._ _;, �� � � �c� ! r t�rft i�ri 5 � �:{� �•tit !F.�l w � �: � ri� � y � r�� .^�5�► ���,� ;�_ �,,i,,.`/�... �F:::'v . ir;r:1 � ti� � �0 " ' 6� 2 3' o1:Tii U JCO' BC9' 16=0' � Iiceinll,m/:..2�arn�ipin<. Neighborhood 1 South (Cottage View) ��� Jurte 2005 ` ""' Master Plan '°°"°'°'`:`"°"°. 11�+.��.18.(:e>. C�n�.r� IIJ[.o�p 1'mA C.e.� 1�l � l.�Y � � Cottage Grove Mimesofa EXHIBIT D East Ravine Ciry of Cottage Grove i �'; i.. i :� Legend: Neighborhaod 2 ;�� Rural Resldenllal �Less tn3n i txin iR m) ', � Lax Densiry Rosldential (rs onYS nc�ral . - tf6 � 4tl� - rg!: �04 - 95tote _ /YnN�mci � Idedium Density Resldentlal (6-f7 uuTSlArn) - iawn.�..; tmrc,ss.� � NlghOenslryResldanllal(��7un•u�acre� ,, caam�nm,. rMiro,k�. � CommercWl �. � Ir�ix6d USE � Paikl.OpenSFuce . � Parkaay � WaWrbody ' sor;ru O /CU BN' 1N_'0' F:iYd Ilukinyu,roRwplsCnvpM1ic. e��� Neighborhood 2 Master Plan Jcu�e2005 �:;�.:-s.�„�:.,,.,,,,,. �,._,.� e .;,.. �.,,�.., ,,,�<.,,, .�:�...r�,,., ,�, EXHIBIT E ' = � � ' " , �.��� ► � �! i , ( � ' ;, � `"_�� � �� � ` � .�� �� �i >.�� Cotta e G rove ' ' " a__� ��_�� �!� ► ° 'I � �ir ,�, � 9 —� -_ _ ,--� -- � Future Land Use 2030 � ��=����,����� � '�� � ,��' ��,__; � L 7ti a ,�, � � j�i n h �. � 4 � �'�-=-��'� . ( `� 1►, _ ' � �. +,. r- �� �' C _ �_�' � � � � r �• . �,. ,%; . _ . ..__ _ - .._ �.�,o ..—._ ' Y � .___. —' � ' 1 ` II _ + _—` _..J' � ' ' LEGEND CG City Boundary ROW_LINES -- CG Major Roads LAND_USE Agricultural _ i RUral ReSldentlal I�� II�!��, ' � t .� � „ �� �� ��,,J-���€�;","�(�c�li��'� _,_,� - y I! ^�l,n 1'- - .r \ ! t1 1-'Ir-�— �. ���� I I�' i I �I r*� � i � _ v !� � � I � Low Densit Residential �f � � � _- S O�It�1W@St �� :�L,� �, �-,, ��� t :---� � II �; �� , Med Density Residential ��� I ���1,��'�,� � `,:;``�,� �; �, �,-�._, , 'ir � "` �' I h, �r— r ' / � _ // � A% , �. � �, �"" �J / 1 •;. / High Density Residential � �'�:����� 0� J��, -� = f - ,�`�� I � I � � \�� ���-- 'i � ��� E � , 6--, , Mixed Use �' �'� _ ���,,� � ,� �`: � �, Commercial - � ' ` `� =1— � `' `� l �� ;:. ��-�, � �I I � ; ;- .�.� ;; , East Ravine Industrial � -'� �' �' �" ` '"' 1, ��� f � � � \ � �, �� Transition Planning Area Y � ! I ��� �"�' � Parks/Private Open Spac '_�__` ' � ` ; r — -- -- /� ... _ �o�f coU�se - Langdon `:: Mississippi River " -;;� � �- , _ `�. , -, `�. - -_.___ �.;, ,. \ - - � w � � � �`�`.•.`� ", �s . � -- .. �. ..........-:�...,. ... .�.:-•..� ....: , .. :. ,. ,. ••::::. _ , ., . .. . , .. . . ?; :. '�- �`� �.�•r:�" ��°:.'• __ -- •..:.. � . • ... �: � .. ... _. . :.: :�� , . . . .. .... _ . . .. ...• •• � f .. ,.:�-'.:?.: '.�►. . � � � I' . .....: �.:.'.. . .; , .. .. .: .,� ...�: . . . • ...... .. �.... .., . � .,;•. ,. , ..... ...... . ..... ,;.. /,... .. .... •':: lr •... ..,._.::.. .' .' • '•:.. ........ .. .;:::i{::.':.:..�.:.:;.:':,;r.':,�...:.�:�....::.:.:-.<'� I .�.��'��,:.:.:�:.:.�.':.�•'�.':'.:�..:.�• �.':�:.': ;:���� ' •'; �• � M:Vv1G15_Oepa�men� ProJec�s1MG15_Deparlman� Grojac� _2014WM ProfecW-�Fl1NRE IAND USE _ 2030 CCdEOA.mxtl � �' 1 \, �� � 1 I � � � � ;;� f\�L """. �I� `� / �n ^� � ,I �� , � I � .�. � I� �� r- �� � �i \ 5. ,— �.A I � �:_.,�� f '�,�E '!,'JI�� � �.4 � �� �7 ;a � �'� - , L „ � �;; �'i, �,�, ; � � � __ '� ,�''�� " ` �" `'��' �; I � � !I i__���, r � �!� ' �i ,�1, West D raw * �-,� /r , ,� .� � ;� `� —..� W . �',�� l� `:���_ 1�31��''.. ���, .. . � �"� �, ,�i �� �� . ;� 4 — _�, � "_ _ i����°�'�*? FUTURE LAND USE - EAST RAVINE -� Cottage Grove �'"�'�' ��, � a���' ��'� _ c , ,— ii ��� � � � ��—.\ �i ,,�_ Future Land Use 2030 ;� w �;- � � �, LEGEND �` ^ �Y � _ - - - , et .�� - -- = � - . <. �� �,:�_= � CG City Boundary �" c��� � y ;, � i � _ � � J _. - ROW LINES -,,� �� , �- Q.- ��f ; ��' - —.� - �� �' �' ,` `��� -- CG Major Roads ` �� � , � ���! ` -=� �- � �- �1 --- , _ � LAN D_US E _, - -_ ___-- l � ,� � `,*� — � I� _ th � � . Agricultural � .. � � �, � � i�' t►•.�� :,;�� , � ' ' Rural Residential ,�, � ��� �'` \--�, , f �; {� �� 'l� -- � ��;\r/ " ! � Low Density Residential _ _ ;���� ,, '= .� 't�� ���� , ,_ � ^ Med Density Residential �i�(�f v � l �� ��� , � � � �� � �. � �I , � High Density Residential ��� � �ti,�1���. ���� �'° � '� , � �. � Mixed Use '� � �.� ; , � - Commercial '� r "�- ' � _5��. I - Industrial ' t =��,,� �a j� � `� �'. � I � � —�^�1 - Transition Planning Area 1 � �, � °_� � Parks/Private Open Space � - - ,_.. � Golf Course I.::,...���J Mississippi River �- � ` �y�A .'�` w_ Community Development 2/12/2014 M:WIGIS_Department Projects\MGIS_Department Projects_2014\JM Projec[s\FUTURE LAND USE EAST RAVINE CC&EDA.mxd =._r��,- � I JaN� __,¢�_ - ;:; � .. ILLUSTRATION 1 � `��-� �r ., � ., � � , �J. _ ^ 7�< � i _` ' � - � t , ,.� � �� � `���, � � I Y � G� _ � � �� `� C ` L� � / ��� ��o �a O.� � / / � f l/ 1J � , C ;J � � I n i _ � - � i �� l � r `�� �� �_ � ,��� n - ,�-, -- � Oth �fi ee �:- � _ = ,�� I� I � ;� �� �J �'� 'Y ` � . -� t�"�� � > ' O ' L � � � _.� , i���2���"..�'�?� FUTURE LAND USE - WEST DRAW �1_ Cottage Grove Future Land Use 2030 LEGEND � CG City Boundary ROW LINES LAND_USE Agricultural ' ; Rural Residential Low Density Residential I Med Density Residential - High Density Residential � Mixed Use - Commercial - Industrial - Transition Planning Area - Parks/Private Open Space - Golf Course � Mississippi River Community Development v�zi2o�a M:Vv1GIS_Department Projects\MGIS_Department Prqects_2014WM Prqects\FUTURE LAND USE WEST DRAW CC&EDA.rtucd ILLUSTRATION 2 �-;��--. �r i������*? FUTURE LAND USE - SOUTHWEST �_ _— -- ,,,., ,�,� -�- -- , �- �� Cottage Grove Future Land Use 2030 LEGEND � CG City Boundary ROW LINES LAND_USE Agricultural i�� Rural Residential Low Density Residential Med Density Residential _ High Density Residential � Mixed Use - Commercial - Industrial - Transition Planning Area - Parks/Private Open Space - Golf Course � Mississippi River � . _ _ ..__.�_,�� � �-�� � � I Community Development 2/12/2014 M:Vv1G15_Department Projects\MGIS_Department Prqeds_2014WM Prqects\FUTURE LAND USE SOUTHWEST CC&EDA.mxd , - _ �_� ,�,� �� ��i . N �'', � �Ili ,:,=� _ ILLUSTRATION 3 - �� ���. Y� �, �', , �; : ,t y,`�, 1 ,, ' ■ �.:. '� ;��., �= I � �-95, � __, ��.�. I � , �' ; ; a l � I ; �! I' �;` � � �l - - n� �, . � �,\\ :, :�; i���e�_ °�*? FUTURE LAND USE - LANGDON ILLUSTRATION 4�—�� � �- Y Cottage Grove Future Land Use 2030 LEGEND � CG City Boundary ROW LINES LAND_USE Agricultural I Rural Residential Low Density Residential __ _ ___ _ _ Med Density Residential - High Density Residential � Mixed Use � Commercial � 4ndustrial C �ransition Planning Area � Parks/Private Open Space � Golf Course � Mississippi River Community Development 2/12/2014 M:VvIGIS_Department ProjectsWlGIS_Departmen[ Projects_2014\JM Projects\FIffURE LAND USE LANGDON CCBEDA.mzd "'����� \ , ; • � I � ',L ':� � ,,,,,,,�p��� � . ,,_--. -�►� �� :• - , � .� ESITMATED RESIDENTIAL UNITS WITHIN THE MUSA COTI'AGE GROVE, MN WEST DRAW " Concept Plan - Walden Woods 128 1.6 209 Posavad 141 2 282 Bailey 77 2 154 Concept Plan - Bothe 41 2.3 94 Young 5 1.8 9 Kemp 40 1.6 64 Multi-Ownership 61 1.5 92 Everwood 2nd - Final Plat 1 1 1 Everwood 3rd - Final Plat 4 2.2 9 Everwood 4th - Final Plat 5 1.9 10 Oak Cove - Final Plat 9 1.4 12 Concept Plan - Summerhill Senior 5 66 SUB-TOTAL 517 936 0 66 50UTHWEST Swanland 160 2.7 432 Centra Homes and Habitat for � 31 Humanity Zywiec 28 1.6 44 SUB-TOTAL : 189 476 31 0 225/yr=20 yrs. 1001yr=21 yrs. 1101yr=20 yrs. G:\planning\Excel Folder\Vacant Res. Lot Inv\Estimated Lot Count for CC & EDA 2014-01-11.xlsx Table 1 February 2014 GRAND TOTAL 2,627 4,406 2,083 2,241 • I_1�[e]�Z�7�\�ll��e�el� OWNERSHIP PATTERNS & LAND USE . �� ,q I � � �/ �, ��\ ��y City Owned Property �� 3M Property w,:,'�Fe ti.l.% .---„-.--r� ' �r�— . . . . _ . � �� � � , tll�i0� ' �" � - � .�i��" . ` � ' � \ .. � - � � �_ � ,+_` /.�,3� � /. , ' .< `� _ � � - _�� �: } � ( /y ,' - �� . �"' � _ �� `'`k f+� t + 4 �� �� • y �}�, M • �\� l. � {�!"�µ��,C� r �1r�`�/� z �p"' � �� � � Ir'fud`�UIC;II�"� !'�+" ` ��� �G � � � � � ��� � i + • �' _�,,,� . l, . -� ,�i -.. r �, � �:� '���f y rt 3 . ; .+! � l i : � � . � ' z � _ � � ��' � ! •� �►i �* , ; ' ..sa ��A � �ly��:' �t'°. $�� ` �'v. �° 6c� — - ' �'�R x �.'� � -.' �� ,s . �' S.*� k �� ' �` : �• � #�:� _ w,�,, ��,� , T'�' I� _� � '� � � - � - �;-� �`' °� �' ;ri,�1"ss��a, 0 +"' � •, a � �.. , ,`,,'t� i .. �� �!{y4�A.f � s � 'Y � .� ��z �e1 . y'. . . r ` r ���� � ^ l , ` _ . � x r- , L �.�., I�� � r ., Y � � r� 4"M � : •r, r . ,� '•t # � .�� : �,� F , - i ���.. . ��.' . REGULATORY & POLICY � The site is on publicly owned land that currently houses the Cot- tage Grove Public Works facility. In the initial phase of implement- ing commuter rail, the public works site could remain with minimal impaa, but relocation of the facility may be required to implement the long term sution area plan. The station area is bounded by single family residential and public land uses. 3M corporation owns a significant portion of the property east of the sution. The City of Cottage Grove has been acquiring property in the area as it be- comes available to prepare for redevelopment. _� ; �� r �I � • _ y � x. _ . � �� y _ . '• �� i.. C .,/.I,, ��.,�� ,/f r.: v . , • z � . v . _. - ,. . ti,a..a ` ' ��. � ��� :.,\ � �� .. �, • t � r = �^- � � ,. , ti�<�i,�� 1 � � ., �� . � �;, • � , - 1 � , - ,.j 4 e�y� �' f. .,• , ��. L . ,yt•.. � . "� � . . r � ^ -- �" � ' - - - -_ — -_ .'�a� . , I�I"" "" � R""�� �'�•t_� F { �• . i . i► . I �. - �_,. �'+. �.::. C `�7'�� �� # ..a � � '� - f ' r . '4n q ;� r � ,. � r.. ' \� •� � r �� �! ., ' � r .� y . � r � ) - .. 3 ��" � " _'S� � t.._�_.�s.� � ' 1►.. . _ ,..; `r 1,. � ,. � ,—:. , . �. + _ �� y � e ��' . ti ' \..- ! � � . � S � -M` a ', • .' ' ...��' J Langdon Village Station Area (Cottage Grove) Property Ownership Near Stauon Site - 1/4 Mile Radins Sho�vn in Red Station Area Planning Final Report - January 2012 The City Comprehensive Plan identifies this area as the preferred location for the Cottage Grove Red Rock Station. RED RQC� CG The City is worldng to acquire properry near the proposed s[ation as it becomes available. -- --- - �e1�[e'1�Zi7�\�/l��e�el�l ILLUSTRATIVE PLAN - NEARTERM ILLUSTRATIVE PLAN - LONG TERM � � � Station Area Planning Final Report - January 2012 � � LANGDON VILLAGE SHORT TERM STATION AREA CONCEPT PLAN (YEAR 2020) LANGDON VILLAGE LONG TERM STATION AREA CONCEPT PLAN (YEAR 2040+) ��e�el . . . : . STATION AREA PLANS & VISION, CONTINUED LAND USE PLAN � � � \\ ���.,� 3 ; � �; �� � \. � '' �`''` y \," � �. �. '\.. � ...., ' �\, � �, � ...... \\\�.\ � ��\�\ \ �\ ,..... \...... ""_"�"""'" ` C V'�v.��.��. . • ^ \ � . . � ._ : 1 �. ' . _. . L ' . . . :. � __�_ . � � . --�_�.. ___ ' � '__ .._ _.l 3 ' _ ._ . '. • y� �� �\ ' d :___"___ � e ^. . . ' . '. � `:'. '._._.._� . ` I � Land Use Key � Residendal _ Retail/Commercial Pub6Ulnstitutlonal "`s- Moced UselResidential — Mbced Use/Commercial Industrial _ T2nsit �_ Natural Landsppe _ _ _ _ _ ; Proposed Land Use Proposed land uses that differ from existing uses are outlined in a dashed line and filled with the corresponding key color. V � ---��� 7 � TRAIL CONNECTIONSAND GREENSPACE � . �- PUELIC OPEN SPACE AN� GREENSUPE s' _ yw � • \ — _. . � . �=— . ' � +• -� r6j yco �- � - � � f� � �vR� . - x � �• .. � . • � R� P � �.� .�� • .I � eCi; � •� C � 6RIDE . , ,..'.•�� . . ; ' N o - : MMP �� ' . .0. .e....� � `Zi�� , NEW STREET . • � '. 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LANGDON VILLAGE TRAIL CONNECTIONS AND GREENSPACE � ' . � �. � Station Area Planning Final Report - January 2012 ' �e\ � [ e l � Z � 7 � \ � / I � �e� e l � 1 Langdon Village - Building Sale & Type Summary* STATION AREA PLANS & VISION, CONTINUED ��dUseType Building# FootprintArea #Stories To�� Residential I S,D�O 3 I5.000 sf RECOMMENDED BUILDING HEIGHTS &TYPE (YEAR 2040) z i�,000 3 si,000:r 3 I5,500 4 62,000 sf 4 I5.000 3 45,000 sf 5 B 3 24.000 sf 6 I5,50� 3 46,500 sf 7 18,OOD 3 54,000 sf 8 6,500 3 19,500 sf 9 8,000 3 24.000 sf 10 I5,500 3 46,500 sf I I 21,500 2 43,000 sf 12 I3,500 2 27,000 sf Commercial I3 27,000 I 27,�00 sf 14 5,500 I 5,500 sf IS 5.500 I 5,500 sf 16 6,�00 I 6.000 sf 17 2,500 I 2,500 sf IB 5,500 I 5.500 sf 19 6,000 I 6,000 sf 20 4,500 I 4,500 sf Mixed Use 21 37,000 4 148,OD0 sf 22 45,00� 4 IBO,ODO sf 23 7,500 3 22,500 sf 24 31,SOD 4 126,000 sf 25 I8,000 4 72,D00 sf 26 17,000 4 68.000 sf 27 17,500 4 7D,000 sf Civic/Institutional/Office 28 2,000 I 2,000 sf 29 I,500 I I,500 sf 30*'�' 1.200 I 1,200 sf 31 4,000 2 6,000 sf *Pla ns a nd calculations are conceptual, based on full bui Id out projections for beyond the year of 2040, and may shift as a result of ongoing station area planning and programming efforts. Residential SF counts 700%toward Housing Units; Commercial, Civic, Institutional, Office, and Industrial SF counu 700%towards Job Growth; and Mixed Use SF counts 50"/o towards Housing Units and 50%towards Job Growth. '��^� Station Area Planning Final Report - January 2012 Recommended Building Scale & Use of Housing Uniu @ 1200sf each (2BR) b Growth Potential (@ 350sf per worker) rk & Ride (commuxer demand) .rking (new development demand) anning Study Focus Area 457,500 sf 62.500 sf 666,SD0 sf I I,500 sf 667 Housing Units 1,192 Jobs BSO Cars 3,948 Cars - 64.5 Acres � � �