HomeMy WebLinkAbout4.1 Economic Development Inquiry/Business Update
Business/ Inquiry
To: Honorable Mayor Bailey and EDA Members
From: Christine Costello, Acting Community and Economic Development Director
and Matt Wolf, Economic Development Specialist
Date: January 3, 2019
Activites that have taken place in the community that may have a potential impact on economic
development activity:
Discussion Staff Action
Industrial & Economic Acting Community and Economic Development Director
Development Summit, Costello took part in a panel discussion on the interaction of
November 15, 2018 industrial development and municipalities. The summit was
an opportunity for Cottage Grove to promote its Business
Park and specifically speak to its recent success with the
development of North Star Sheets to over 250 brokers and
developers that were in attendance.
Meeting with Landform, Cottage Grove met with Steve Sabraski of Landform to
November 20, 2018 discuss the potential for creating a master plan for the
Shoppes at Cottage View. A proposal has been requested
to determine the feasibility.
DK Design Meeting, Acting Community and Economic Development Director
November 20, 2018 Costello and Interim City Administrator Levitt met with DK
Design to discuss the redevelopment of the former Cottage
Grove City Hall proposed property.
PIPELINE Workforce Economic Development Specialist Wolf met with Kathleen
Program, November 28, 2018 Gordon of the Department of Labor and Industry to discuss
the PIPELINE Program that is offered through the State of
Minnesota. An introductory email on the program will be
sent to our businesses in our Business Park.
Park High School – Inventor Economic Development Specialist Wolf and Washington
Space, November 28, 2018 County CDA Director Chris Eng met with Park High School
at their brand-new Inventor Space to discuss future
collaboration on creating an advisory board made up of
Cottage Grove businesses and promotion of manufacturing
positions in High Schools.
School District 833 Meeting Acting Community and Economic Development Director
to discuss workforce issues, Costello and Economic Development Specialist Wolf met
November 30, 2018 with School District 833 to discuss workforce development
and working together to address education development as
it relates to the Cottage Grove Business Park.
Meeting with Brian Beeman Acting Community and Economic Development Director
of IAG Commercial, Costello and Economic Development Specialist Wolf met
December 4, 2018 with Brian Beeman of IAG Commercial to discuss available
Development Inquiry Update
November 7, 2018
Page 2
industrial, commercial and multi-family housing land
available for development.
Minnesota Rail Conference, Acting Community and Economic Development Director
December 5, 2018 Costello attended the Statewide Rail Conference, which
included topics on the economic development of rail sites
and the state of national passenger rail system.
Lodging Tax Meeting, City Administrator Levitt and Economic Development
December 5, 2018 Specialist Wolf met with the Cottage Grove Area Chamber of
Commerce to discuss the EDA Workshop on the Lodging
Tax on January 8, 2019
rd
Minnesota Marketing Economic Development Specialist attended the 3 trimester
Partnership Meeting, Minnesota Marketing Partnership Meeting from the
December 10, 2018 Department of Employment and Economic Development.
Livable Communities Act Economic Development Specialist Wolf attended the Livable
Program Workshop, Communities Act Program Workshop presented by the
December 11, 2018 Metropolitan Council. To hear and discuss various grant
programs offered through Metropolitan Council to help fund
infrastructure improvements that include multi-family and
commercial developments.
McDonald’s Ribbon Cutting The City of Cottage Grove took part in a McDonald’s VIP
December 18, 2018 event to celebrate the grand reopening of the McDonald’s.
Business Park Meeting with Acting Community and Economic Development Director
WAG Farms, December 20, Costello and Economic Development Specialist Wolf met
2018 with WAG Farms owners to discuss current and potential
projects in the Business Park.
Orange Theory Fitness The City of Cottage Grove hosted a ribbon cutting for
Ribbon Cutting, December Orange Theory Fitness at 8621 East Point Douglas the
31, 2018 location of the former Payless Shoe Store.
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Summary of Economic Activity
Ninth District economic activity increased moderately since the previous report. Employment grew
moderately, with hiring demand remaining robust, but a tight labor supply was restraining
employment growth. Wage pressures were moderate overall, while price growth remained modest.
The District economy showed growth in consumer spending, construction, residential real estate,
manufacturing, and energy. Commercial real estate activity was mixed, while agricultural conditions
remained weak.
Employment and Wages
Employment grew moderately since the last report. Hiring demand remained robust, but a tight labor
supply was restraining employment growth. Job postings tracked by district states were higher
overall in October compared with the same period a year earlier. Minnesota and North Dakota saw
particularly strong growth in job postings, while South Dakota and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan
had small declines. Ad hoc surveys of businesses in Minnesota, Montana, and South Dakota,
conducted in late October and November by the Minneapolis Fed, found that a significant majority of
respondents' firms were hiring; many were hiring to both increase total headcount and replace
turnover. Numerous construction contacts in Minneapolis-St. Paul said they were hiring, and most
were looking to increase total headcount. However, tight labor availability was making it difficult for
firms to find necessary workers. Surveys by the Minneapolis Fed found that labor availability was
widely seen as the biggest obstacle to short-term growth. Unemployment insurance claims have also
continued to drop; over the most recent six-week period (through early November), both initial and
continuing claims saw a cumulative decline of 12 percent across District states compared with the
same period a year earlier. A Montana contact noted that seasonal layoffs for male-dominated
industries like construction have been pushed back this year. "This hasn't happened before in the
years that we've been watching."
Wage pressures were moderate overall, with some evidence of stronger pressures for certain
industries and worker skills. Several ad hoc surveys by the Minneapolis Fed showed wage increases
coalescing around 3 percent over the past 12 months. A small majority of Minnesota and South
Dakota firms reported wage increases below 3 percent; however, a small majority of Montana firms
reported increases above 3 percent, as did about 70 percent of Minneapolis-St. Paul construction
firms. A Minnesota services company announced it was raising its base wage from $12 to $14 per
hour in hopes of hiring 300 people by year's end. A tight labor market for high-tech skills in
Minneapolis-St. Paul has led to double-digit wage increases for some information technology and
other STEM positions over the past 12 months. There were also reports that more companies,
especially those in construction trades, were picking up a greater share of workers' health insurance
premium costs to attract and retain employees.
Prices
Price growth remained generally modest since the previous report, though input prices saw more
pressure. In a recent survey of large firms, about 30 percent saw input prices rise by 3 percent or
more over the past 12 months, but 41 percent believe they will rise by 3 percent or more over the
coming 12 months. Several contacts reported notable increases in freight and transportation logistics
prices. Retail fuel prices in District states as of late November were substantially lower than a month
earlier. However, home heating costs were expected to increase faster in District states than
nationally this winter, largely due to rises in the prices of heating oil and natural gas, as the average
temperature forecast is roughly flat from last year. Prices received by farmers for corn, wheat, hay,
and cattle increased in September compared with a year earlier; prices for soybeans, hogs, milk,
chickens, eggs, and turkeys decreased.
Consumer Spending and Tourism
Consumer spending grew moderately since the last report. Taxable sales have seen strong growth
in South Dakota this fall compared with a year earlier; Wisconsin also saw sales growth year over
year, but at slower rates than those seen over summer months. In Minnesota, hotel demand rose,
with higher occupancy and revenue per available room in October compared with a year earlier.
Tourism activity was solid in Montana, with October visits to Glacier National Park seeing a 9
percent increase. Total enplanements at Montana's two largest airports were also up 9 percent over
a year earlier. Attendance at national parks elsewhere in the District were mixed. Total visits in
October were down at Mount Rushmore, as well as at Pictured Rocks in Michigan's Upper
Peninsula, and vehicle crossings at the U.P.'s Mackinac Bridge have been lower this fall compared
with a year earlier.
Construction and Real Estate
Commercial construction activity grew moderately since the last report. Industry data showed that
total construction spending in October was higher across much of the District compared with a year
earlier. Industry data showed that both new commercial projects and total active construction
projects in the District as of early November were slightly higher than a year ago. However, there
was also some evidence that the number of active projects may be elevated to some degree by the
inability of construction firms to find available labor. Overall, commercial permitting in October was
strong in Minneapolis-St. Paul, but otherwise mixed among the District's other metro markets.
Several industry contacts in Minneapolis-St. Paul said project pipelines were full heading into the
end of the year and early part of 2019, and industrial and medical construction sectors were said to
be strong. Another construction contact also noted significant activity in the energy segment in
Minnesota. Residential construction activity saw moderate growth. October single-family permitting
was higher in a notable majority of District metros compared with a year earlier, while multifamily
permitting was mixed.
Commercial real estate activity was mixed since the last report. In Minneapolis-St. Paul, industrial
and multifamily sectors both continued to show healthy leasing demand, with low vacancy rates
despite significant new construction. However, both retail and office vacancy rates have been
increasing. Several national retailers announced closures in Minnesota, and one specialty retailer
announced the closure of eight stores in the state. Consumer shifts to online retailers have
contributed to rising vacancy rates in retail space, but have also contributed to lower industrial
vacancies due to increased leasing of industrial warehouse space in Minneapolis-St. Paul.
Residential real estate activity rose moderately. Closed sales in October were mostly higher
compared with a year earlier across most of the District. October home sales were particularly strong
in western and northern counties of Wisconsin. Sales in Montana's larger markets were mixed, but
softer overall.
Manufacturing
District manufacturing activity increased modestly since the previous report. An index of
manufacturing conditions indicated increased activity in October compared with a month earlier in
Minnesota and the Dakotas. An industrial equipment producer announced a large expansion that
would nearly double capacity at a plant in Minnesota. However, multiple contacts have reported
putting capital spending plans on hold due to uncertainty in their outlooks.
Agriculture, Energy, and Natural Resources
District agricultural conditions remained weak. According to results from the Minneapolis Fed's third-
quarter survey of agricultural credit conditions, roughly three in five lenders surveyed reported that
farm incomes decreased in the third quarter relative to a year earlier, while a similar proportion
reported decreased capital spending. While early indications were for very strong production in much
of the District, in some areas heavy rains and unseasonably cold weather were complicating
harvests. District oil and gas exploration activity as of late November increased moderately relative
to the last report. North Dakota oil production increased to a new record in September. A major
natural gas processing plant began operations in North Dakota.